Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Fenerbahce
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Fenerbahce
vs
0.78
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).