Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Malmö FF
27.3%
Draw
41.6%
Djurgården
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Malmö FF
vs
1.54
Djurgården
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).