Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Clermont
24.4%
Draw
55.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Clermont
vs
1.60
Lille
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).