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AHT: 10CSV

15 Jan 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
Raith Rvs
30.4%
Draw
26.1%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Raith Rvs

vs
1.07

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).