Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Portsmouth
17.5%
Draw
12.4%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Portsmouth
vs
0.72
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).