Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Rio Ave
27.1%
Draw
26.0%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Rio Ave
vs
0.90
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).