Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Liverpool
19.5%
Draw
13.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Liverpool
vs
1.09
Burnley
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).