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24 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.4%
Scunthorpe
24.9%
Draw
32.8%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Scunthorpe

vs
1.50

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).