Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Getafe
35.5%
Draw
24.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Getafe
vs
0.66
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS29.5%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.547.4%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.57.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.7%
1-0
18.7%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).