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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
AFC Stoneham
25.0%
Draw
33.1%
Willenhall Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

AFC Stoneham

vs
1.24

Willenhall Town

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).