Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Braintree Town
27.7%
Draw
61.7%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Braintree Town
vs
1.48
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS29.3%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-2
15.7%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
10.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
2-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).