Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.0%
York
6.4%
Draw
2.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
4.08
York
vs
0.76
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.586.0%
Over 3.571.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
9.2%
3-0
9.0%
5-0
7.5%
4-1
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
5-1
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
3.0%
1-1
2.7%
4-2
2.6%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).