Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Portsmouth
31.0%
Draw
34.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Portsmouth
vs
1.13
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).