Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.6%
Ath Madrid
11.7%
Draw
4.7%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Ath Madrid
vs
0.55
Granada
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
3.6%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).