Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Crewe
24.6%
Draw
39.2%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crewe
vs
1.39
Swindon
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).