Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Grimsby
29.4%
Draw
36.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Grimsby
vs
1.05
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).