Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Malmö FF
32.0%
Draw
32.8%
IFK Göteborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Malmö FF
vs
1.08
IFK Göteborg
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).