Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Espanol
28.6%
Draw
29.6%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Espanol
vs
1.05
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).