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10 Jan 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Sociedad
24.5%
Draw
26.0%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Sociedad

vs
1.10

Albacete

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).