Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Salernitana
21.7%
Draw
57.0%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Salernitana
vs
1.93
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).