Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Zaragoza
29.6%
Draw
37.8%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Zaragoza
vs
1.10
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).