Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Almeria
17.1%
Draw
14.5%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Almeria
vs
1.08
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).