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HHT: 10CSV

04 Dec 2019 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.1%
Celtic
18.6%
Draw
11.3%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Celtic

vs
0.83

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).