Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Espanol
25.9%
Draw
50.8%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Espanol
vs
1.59
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).