Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Maidenhead
24.9%
Draw
24.8%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Maidenhead
vs
1.21
Dorking
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).