Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Ternana
30.9%
Draw
27.5%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ternana
vs
0.99
Brescia
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).