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HHT: 21CSV

11 May 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.1%
Sp Gijon
24.4%
Draw
25.6%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Sp Gijon

vs
1.09

Andorra

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).