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03 Sept 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Reggina
29.5%
Draw
39.8%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Reggina

vs
1.34

Palermo

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).