Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Katowice
27.0%
Draw
25.3%
Pogoń Szczecin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Katowice
vs
1.10
Pogoń Szczecin
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).