Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
FC Koln
24.5%
Draw
17.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
FC Koln
vs
0.91
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).