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AHT: 02CSV

05 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Heidenheim
25.7%
Draw
26.1%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Heidenheim

vs
1.23

Hannover

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).