Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Karagumruk
31.1%
Draw
32.6%
Umraniyespor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Karagumruk
vs
1.37
Umraniyespor
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).