Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Oxford City
26.2%
Draw
27.4%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Oxford City
vs
1.22
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).