Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Dender
26.2%
Draw
44.5%
Westerlo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Dender
vs
1.58
Westerlo
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).