Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
St Pauli
24.9%
Draw
41.7%
Hanley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
St Pauli
vs
1.45
Hanley Town
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).