Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Sunderland
27.4%
Draw
16.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Sunderland
vs
0.69
Reading
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).