Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Tranmere
20.6%
Draw
55.5%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Tranmere
vs
2.03
Swindon
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).