Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Rio Ave
23.3%
Draw
51.0%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Rio Ave
vs
1.98
Estoril
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).