Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Girona
24.3%
Draw
37.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Girona
vs
1.46
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).