Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Gil Vicente
26.2%
Draw
50.3%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Gil Vicente
vs
1.41
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).