Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Motherwell
17.7%
Draw
7.6%
Ross County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Motherwell
vs
0.57
Ross County
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).