Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Notts County
21.3%
Draw
14.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Notts County
vs
0.72
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).