Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Sp Braga
17.1%
Draw
10.0%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Sp Braga
vs
0.82
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).