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28 Oct 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.6%
Rizespor
20.6%
Draw
69.9%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Rizespor

vs
2.44

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).