Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Leyton Orient
23.6%
Draw
51.9%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Leyton Orient
vs
1.55
Derby
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).