Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Montpellier
18.2%
Draw
70.1%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Montpellier
vs
2.06
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.7%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).