Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Las Palmas
23.8%
Draw
56.2%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Las Palmas
vs
1.80
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).