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07 Aug 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.8%
Anderlecht
20.5%
Draw
9.7%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Anderlecht

vs
0.61

Seraing

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.8%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).