Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Valladolid
26.1%
Draw
25.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Valladolid
vs
0.98
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).