Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Oxford
22.9%
Draw
66.9%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Oxford
vs
1.83
Leeds
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
0-3
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).